The war on drugs is a joke. We spend $40 billion a year, and the proof that it's a failure is that any kid can get almost any drug they want in any city in America within half an hour.
-- David Sheff, American author
"Price of Fentanyl will rise sharply"
Pretty big talk from a ketamine addict, but okay.
That was the Unelected Billionaire Guy who self-admits he can't comprehend social interaction, and who spent $44 billion destroying Twitter to prove it, explains how another socially inept billionaire is going to socially engineer America.
They're going to use tariffs to engineer society.
That's right.
You see it, don't you?
Sure you do.
See, Trump told his supporters tariffs were about making stuff in America, about American jobs, about lowering costs for Americans.
Trump said "tariff" was his "favorite word" and the "most beautiful word in the dictionary."
That's what he said. Those are his words.
At dozens of rallies, Trump told his supporters that he'd impose tariffs to raise federal revenue and increase jobs and manufacturing in the US.
Raise federal revenue.
Bring back manufacturing jobs in the United States.
That's what he told you.
“We’re going to have 10 to 20% tariffs on foreign countries that have been ripping us off for years.”
“I do like the 10% [tariff] for everybody. The problem with the 10% is that some countries are much bigger abusers than others.”
“We’re going to be a tariff nation. It’s not going to be a cost to you. It’s going to be a cost to another country”
That's what he said, over and over.
Tariffs are about jobs, about leveling the field, about revenue.
That's what Trump said.
But, it was all a lie.
Of course, it was all a lie.
That's what Trump does.
And even if he actually believed the nonsense coming out of his sagging lips, tariffs don't work like that and even the hardcore rightwing Republican economists at the Wall Street Journal will happily tell you that.
But the lie is even bigger.
The lie isn't just that tariffs don't work the way Trump wants to you to believe they will.
The lie is that those things were never the plan.
What Trump and his MAGA cronies intend it to socially engineer America.
See, now that he's been elected, suddenly tariffs aren't about jobs and federal revenue.
Instead, tariffs are suddenly about punishing foreign governments for apparently not fixing America's drug problem.
Elon Musk, alleged illegal drug addict and unelected director of a dodgy new government agency, declares: "Price of Fentanyl will rise sharply"
Yes, if foreign governments decide it's somehow their job to close our border to drug traffickers, the price of illicit drugs will probably rise sharply.
But there are a lot of iffy assumptions in that statement.
Drugs are a supply and demand market with just-in-time delivery.
Drug dealers aren't sitting on warehouses of drugs, just in case the supply chain gets interrupted.
So, if you cut that chain, the prices will most certainly rise.
But it's not that simple and, funny story, I happen to know more than the average American about this.
No, I was never a drug dealer or a drug user or a drug addict.
I was on the other side.
I was one of those people the government sent to stop the illegal drug trade. That's right.
I spent a lot of time down there, south of the border, hunting drug runners at no insignificant risk to myself and my team.
And we were good at it.
We captured many, many drug mules and literally tons of cocaine.
Tons.
That's me, third from the right, bottom row, no not the bald guy but the one with the psycho killer buzz cut, with the radio and the funny looking bars on my collar. We're sitting on millions of dollars of cocaine somewhere off the coast of the Galapagos Islands. That's what those black plastic covered bales are, cocaine. Millions and millions of dollars worth.
That was one bust out of I don't even remember how many.
We set records for the number of prisoners and drugs captured. We took tons of cocaine of the streets of America. We sent nearly a hundred cartel members and drug mules to prison.
And the price of cocaine on the streets of America changed ... not one penny.
It wasn't just us, it was us and a dozen other operations like ours and border patrol and the DEA and cops in every town and city doing the same job and the very same time. There were a dozen other teams out there, all sitting on similar piles of cocaine.
And all our work, all that risk, the millions it cost to send us down there, accomplished exactly fuck all.
It didn't do a damn thing, never has and never will.
The price of cocaine on the streets of America was unaffected. The war on drugs is a joke and we lost long ago.
But it's more than that.
See, the entire operation is rotten. Those charged with commanding this war? They're all in on it. They have billion dollar budgets, they fly around in commandeered DHS and Coast Guard choppers, they have every bit of high tech kit and every rugged all terrain toy you can imagine, they're tricked out in every weapon system there is, and they make hundreds of thousands a year. They don't want The War On Drugs to end, it's their lives. It makes them important and powerful and they get to push everyone else around and they get to kill people. It's makes them bad ass, full on swagger. And it makes them rich, the corrupt ones anyway, and there are plenty of those, top to bottom.
That's what you learn, hunting drug runners.
It's all bullshit. Theater. No one wants it to end. Not the drug lords. Sure as hell, not the Drug Enforcement Agency. Americans, be they scummy lowlife street thugs or white collar stock traders, they love drugs. We don't want drugs taken off the streets.
There are so much drugs made and flowing into the US that when my team and I took tons of coke off the street, it had zero affect on the price of cocaine on the street.
But let's say you actually could.
Let's say you actually could interrupt the supply to a degree that it would actually affect the price of illegal drugs for the end user.
"Price of Fentanyl will rise sharply"
Let's say you could do that, with tariffs or otherwise.
And the price of opioids did rise sharply.
Just like the price of booze did when a bunch of pinch-faced religious nuts imposed Prohibition on America.
Americans didn't stop drinking though.
No even a little bit.
And as a result, you got a massive increase in violent crime, a massive increase in gang violence, see Al Capone et al. We make movies about how bad it was. About how much of an utter and predictable failure Prohibition was.
You got a massive increase in illicit booze smuggled across the border and manufactured at home.
And you got a massive increase in alcohol poisoning deaths because people were drinking everything from drain cleaner to rubbing alcohol to moonshine they made in their bathtubs.
And a lot of people got very, very rich, some smuggling the booze, some trying to stop the smuggling of booze, either was a good gig if you could get it.
But what you didn't get was any less drinking.
Just like you're not going to get any less drug addicts if you manage to choke off the Fentanyl supply. They'll just shove drain cleaner (or whatever the drug equivalent is) into their veins.
Tariffs won't stop drug addicts.
Just like the War on Drugs hasn't stopped drugs, and instead only made things worse.
Trump told us tariffs were about revenue.
About jobs. About buying American.
But it was always about social engineering, just like Prohibition was.
It was always about punishing us for not believing Trump's bullshit.
And we're all going to get punished, yes, we are.
We're all going to pay because Canada didn't stop Mexicans from smuggling Chinese made drugs so Trump could take credit and declare himself a genius hero.
Trump is going to impose a tax on foreign nations that we will pay.
Not the foreign nation, us.
American drug addicts aren't going to suddenly just stop using drugs because Trump imposed tariffs.
Just like Americans didn't stop drinking because of Prohibition.
Drug cartels aren't going to stop smuggling opioids because tomatoes cost $20 each in American grocery stores.
And that what's going to happen. Most of the tomatoes in the US come from Mexico, with Canada being the second largest supplier. 25% tariff on tomatoes, including canned and processed. You think that can be offset by increased domestic production?
Remember, that was the original promise.
Tariffs will bring back production to America.
So, you massively jack up the prices of imported produce and American farmers will ramp up production and reap the reward while creating millions of new jobs.
Right?
Except, Trump plans to use the army to round up millions of produce workers and put them in concentration camps for deportation. And farmers have no idea who will pick their crops as they are, let alone any increase in acreage. I mean, Americans sure aren't going to pick produce in the boiling San Joaquin Valley sun for less than minimum wage -- and what's that going to do to former [sic] heroin addict RFK Jr's plan to make us eat more healthy? But I digress.
Tell me, what do you think that's going to do to the prices in your grocery stores? In in your local pizza place? Etc?
Eggs? You were mad about the price of eggs, and that's why you had to vote for Trump? The US imports $44 million worth of eggs from Canada every year. And about $7 million from China. What do you think the price of eggs will be on January 21st?
Of course, isn't really just about tomatoes. Or eggs.
It's about everything.
You, you personally, you're going to pay out of your pocket to finance Trump's childishly petulant plan to punish foreign governments for a drug problem caused by an American pharmaceutical company that will ultimately not affect the drug addicts in any fashion.
Just like the War on Drugs.
Just like Prohibition.
When this idiotic plan results in economic chaos and massive increase in crime, and it will, Trump will cancel the tariffs, declare the fentanyl problem fixed, China punished, the border secure, and Republicans will cheer HUZZAH! We won! We won!
We won.
That's what they'll tell you.
But the only thing that will have actually changed is that you are paying $20 for a tomato.
If you can find a tomato.
If you want to fight a war on drugs, sit down at your own kitchen table and talk to your own children.-- Barry McCaffrey, General, US Army, Retired, former Director National Drug Control Policy
We’re not going to make it, are we?
ReplyDeleteIt is in our nature to destroy ourselves.
DeleteSome of us might. Keith Richards will be fine.
DeleteNo, I don't think we are going to be America in about 18 months . I hope I am wrong as I can't get the hell out; I won't leave family that can't leave thanks to Texas child custody laws .
DeleteThis was identified early on as a likely outcome.
ReplyDeleteI love this essay! Thank you for so coherently stating what I've been saying for years; America's drug problems are a demand issue. McCaffrey nailed it too. I'm very worried about how I'm going to be able to afford to eat the next 4 years.
ReplyDeleteI saw all of this coming!
ReplyDeleteWe tried to warn ⚠️ them!
All because Kamala had the nerve to be both a woman and black. Well, maybe not "all because". I have a hearty helping of steaming hot FU blame for Nixon, Ford and Garland.
ReplyDeleteAnd that about her color and sex, is ignored by media.
DeleteThe idiocy is overwhelming. It was a slow boil, but they got there. And now we go back to a feudal system, modernized to be called an autocracy.
ReplyDeleteNever mind softwood imports to the US.
ReplyDeleteCanada and Mexico supply a LOT of dimensional lumber products, so the cost of building just went up 25%.
I’m a Canadian, and honestly, I have no idea why this guy is doing this? I’m sure there’s illegals crossing the 49th just as I’m positive there’s illegal weapons flowing north, but 25% tariffs? Didn’t we renegotiate NAFTA?
What point are any deals made with Trump? He just rips them up.
God damn, maybe he thinks he’s a disrupter, but basically he and all his toadies are just idiots.
Fellow Canadian here. I suspect that most illegal border crossings are from the US to Canada.
DeleteIt's pretty simple: Cheetolini will relieve the tariffs on any company that makes a large-enough contribution to the Republican party. This is what he did in 2016 before he had control of the RNC. Now that he has control, all $$ "donated" there goes to him. It isn't about trade wars or drug wars or immigration wars. It's about the cash in his pocket.
DeleteI am thinking about making a dash to sanity my country has nuts.
DeleteYes, all of this. What you told us from day one.
ReplyDeleteHe told us what he would do. For some of us, it was one of the many reasons to vote for Kamala Harris, the only candidate who was qualified. For others, it was to do his bidding because they hated everyone he hated.
The poor schmucks didn't have a clue what they were actually voting for and they will hurt mightily. The exasperating part of the equation is that not enough of people who KNEW he was as bad as he seemed showed up to vote. Kamala wasn't their Barbie Dream Date so they stayed home. Now we will all pay the price. I can grow my own tomatoes, but the rest of the supply chain is going to suffer as well. We had ONE JOB. We were supposed to show up and vote, and we failed. The piper must be paid, and the bill is due.
I tried to share this post and it was flagged as spam and removed by Facebook.......fucking bs
DeleteCan you also guard them 24/7? Are you reliant on purchased fertilizer, insecticide and fungicide? Are you prepared to repel desperate people, including addicts looking for anything to sell?
DeleteTypo alert: “cost of the Galapagos“ should probably be “coast of the Galapagos”
ReplyDeleteGreat essay, of course.
Seriously dude???
DeleteI shared your essay. Fashbook took it down. They called it spam. They removed a link to an article I posted about Holodomor the other day. It's becoming almost impossible to share anything on this hellsite.
ReplyDeleteFacebook's throttling and its nannybots declaring shares of legit posts "spam" have increased dramatically since the election. (It's as if Elon were running the show over there too.) When one appeals the FB nanny's judgement, all one gets in reply is crickets.
DeleteSame happened to me. I read their document on spam, and couldn't see I did anything that violated any of their rules. I've got nothing to hide or apologize for. Requested a review. Stay tuned...
DeleteThere might even be another reason for tarrifs. Trump will probably use them to punish or reward businesses and industries he likes or dislike. He can also use tarrifs to blackmail businesses to pay him tribute like Putin does. How do you think Putin paid for that billion dollar mansion on the Black Sea.
ReplyDeleteI still think they rigged the election. They went through voter rolls with a Sharpie. They dispute mail in ballots which are so secure it's amazing. They slowed the mail to a standstill (it took three weeks for a card to. arrive in MI from Colorado in August) and there is no way a bunch of Dem voters just stayed home. We are the ones who care about this nation. The MAGAs are like Trump-they think they got theirs and he will give them more--a lesson not learned in 2019 when the covid deaths started. But wave your Confed flags and your unopened $60 Bibles, and you are the good guys?
ReplyDeleteI know we will all be hurting very soon, but I honestly have no compassion left for the people who supported this takeover.
I too believe that this election was rigged. Has the man ever been honest in any of his dealings? We’re left to believe that he let the voters decide his fate. The election he had to win to avoid any punishment. He should’ve been handcuffed and taken directly to jail when he went to the WH for the transition. This administration is acting as if everything is normal while team Trump is coming in to dismantle all of it. Resist! We may have witnessed the last election in this country.
DeleteI also think that there’s something fishy about the last election. There was an unusually high number of bullet ballots, all or most made out to Trump. Bullet ballots are ballots made out to one candidate and no other candidates up or down the ticket. The battleground states allegedly had a large number of these bullet ballots, but not the surrounding states. That should be checked out!
DeleteAnd who can blame you?
DeleteMakes me think of my father, a Coast Guard aviator fresh out of Pensacola. First assignment was the Rum War at Sea and flying over the mountains looking for stills. Poor guy ended up with a drinking problem
ReplyDeleteBrilliant piece of writing. My family is from Guyana (yes, yes, land of pseudo Kool-aid) and after the race riots of the 60s, incited in part by the USA because they were afraid we were going Communist,, the bulk of my family moved to the USA. Except my parents who came to Canada 🇨🇦.
ReplyDeleteI thank the heavens for that.
This business with Trump is madness and Canada will pay the price as we have enough issues with China and India as it is. Even the UK is having issues with us regarding cheese trade.
In the end, it is BRICS who will profit.
Sigh. Yes, all of this. It was all perfectly clear. What a disaster … And, thank you, as ever, for your essays.
ReplyDeleteI figured that from the first time he brought up Tariffs. The people who voted for that idiot will be the ones that suffer the most. Those smart phones everyone has? Better get a new one before 1/20/25 because the price is going to increase at minimum 30 plus percent. Well written Jim, and Hey! You haven’t afed a bit.😎
ReplyDeleteThis makes absolutely too much sense.
ReplyDeleteWay back in the dark ages I took a class about drug use in America. I don't recall the exact name of the class, but I do remember it was taught by a guy by the name of Jim Inciardi. That was my first exposure to the idea that the government was involved up to it's neck in the drug trade. Almost 5 decades ago, and I still remember. And some things never change.
ReplyDeleteThat was pretty much a given, after Vietnam. I know guys who worked with Air America and said it was highly involved in the drug trade.
DeleteThose of us who knew this would happen...well we knew. We're all going to hurt from this--all of us---but when it all hits the fan, and it will, I'm inclined to sit on the sidelines and let them try to clean up the shit mess that they and their ignorance created. Because it's their fight, the one they voted for, and when the reckoning comes, and they cry for our help--fuck 'em.
ReplyDeleteHe'll lift the tariffs and, just like with Covid, the prices won't come down because fuck you, that's why.
ReplyDeleteAll in the name of one man’s ego…
ReplyDeleteThe Canadian right wing premiers and politicians are all fighting to see who gets to fellate Donald first.
ReplyDeleteI can see Polly and DoFo wresting to see whose lip can touch the boot first.
DeleteDoug Ford seems to be wondering why that leopard is sizing up his face.
DeleteExactly this.
ReplyDeleteThanks. Great piece. I was a Chicago beat cop in 1971-75. Learned it then. Still see it now, but Trump and his enablers are a new level of cynicism.
ReplyDeleteWait till the retaliatory tariffs start arriving from our trading PARTNERS!
ReplyDeleteAs has been repeatedly pointed out, tariffs affect the country imposing them
DeleteInteresting your example was a tomato considering your very negative physical reaction to them. I'm sure you did that on purpose just not smart enough to figure out the reason. As always, a great read.
ReplyDeleteI had a relative who was on the vice squad in Florida. He was on the boats (think Miami Vice), and loved it. Something of an adrenaline junkie. He got himself transferred to an admin desk job several years before his retirement. I asked him why he did that, since he loved being in the field so much. He answered, “It’s gotten to where everyone I know is dirty.”
ReplyDeleteThank you.
ReplyDeleteAllies drifting apart, neighbours fighting, the worlds police falling into divisive infighting, Putin is laughing his head off.
ReplyDeleteTrying to explain to the local brain trust that the policies being espoused are literally a straight line to higher prices across the board... consumer goods, food, housing... nothing put forward by tRump and his acolytes will lower prices. Sick and tired of willfully stupid people and their genius commentary like "Oh yeah, well fxxk that bxxxh." No arguing with that "logic".
ReplyDelete100% on target.
ReplyDeleteJim, I don’t expect you to actually see this comment and I certainly don’t have anything worthwhile to add to any of your posts. I am just having such a hard time dealing with this election. I’m too old to move to another country and I don’t really think that’s the answer anyway. You tried to tell us and too many couldn’t be bothered. I don’t understand. Thank you for your efforts. Please do your best to stay healthy. We need you.
ReplyDeleteMy understanding was that much of the fentanyl circulating in the US was made in the US. This has certainly happened in Canada, which shifted form importation to domestic production but exports very little. Anyway, Mexico is responsible for far more of whatever amount of fentanyl is imported into the US.
ReplyDeleteMeanwhile, Canada is the third largest exporter of goods to the US. Much of it is lumber, as pointed out above, but a lot is oil and gas. So gasoline is going to cost Americans quite a bit more, potentially.
Excellent article as usual Jim. I wish your writing was required reading for Maga worshippers
ReplyDeleteI just attempted to publish this commentary to my Facebook account, however, FB deleted it stating "it is against community standards and information presented not able to verify" Another reason to sell META
ReplyDeleteDrug addicts are the demand. And the demand is driving the supply. CWO Wright is pointing at the real problem. Addiction. Too many causes to list. That is where the money should go. Solving why humans become addicts. And a zillion times more effort to helping addict to become sober. Kill the demand and the suppliers will be peddling smokes on every corner. And Trump still sucks. Mysoginistic, vulgar con Man.
ReplyDeleteAnd I wonder, seriously, how long it will take them to decide a populace can't be properly controlled if they own firearms? I mean seriously, if tomatoes are 20 bucks each, there might be some rather unpleasant rumblings, because that's not the only thing no one can purchase anymore unless they are rich as Croesus, and we sure can't have THAT, can we?
ReplyDeleteI feel like I am stuck on the Titanic and half the passengers are rooting for the iceberg.
Oh, goody. More tomatoes for me. I'll have your share, Jim, since I know how much you loathe them.
ReplyDeleteAnd are you saying Zhe Shicago Way /connery didn't actually work?
I. Am. Shocked.
And NOT sorry, eh! 🇨🇦
Terrific, solid essay, as ever, Jim.
I wish you, and all the decent folks in the meth lab slash gun shop downstairs the best of luck in the next 49-ish, (and hopefully no more) months.
The MAGAts can go fuck themselves and die. Going to be a lot easier with no pre-existing conditions covered anymore, isn't it?
Nothin but love from Canada.
It’s odd, there aren’t any Trump surrogates responding…..
ReplyDelete